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March is known for stock market turbulance

4th Quarter GDP higher than expected, and durable goods were solid

 

Yesterday we learned that the January orders for durable goods were up a solid 2.8%.  Most analysts were looking for a figure closer to 1%.  This morning investors were relieved to hear the fourth quarter GDP is estimated to be at 2.2%, a smidgen above estimates of 2.1%. 

In general, a 2% growth rate isn't necessarily cheer-worthy, but in today's environment in which good…

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Added by Carley Garner on February 27, 2015 at 1:35pm — No Comments

OUTPERFORMING

This morning we are closing positions on 9 Alpha Action ideas. All of these have outperformed the market. For a copy of our Markets Commentary report, which highlights these ideas, please email sfullman@increasingalpha.net.

Added by Scott Fullman on February 27, 2015 at 4:28am — No Comments

How To Use Bollinger Bands®

Add Volume Indicators For Direction Stock Will Move

Bollinger Bands® have been gaining in popularity in the past couple of years. This is no surprise given the changes in the Market Structure and how price behaves with more of the Exchanges, Dark Pool Alternative Trading Systems ATS, Electronic Communication Networks ECNs and other orders now automated.…

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Added by TechniTrader on February 24, 2015 at 7:30pm — No Comments

Lindsay Preliminary Low Sequence

http://seattletechnicaladvisors.com/blog.html

Added by Ed Carlson on February 24, 2015 at 11:00am — No Comments

Part 2 - About Weekly Options

The Advantages and Disadvantages of Trading Weekly Options

Retail technical traders need to carefully consider not only what financial market they want to trade but also which of the numerous instruments now available to trade will be ideal for their trading style, risk tolerance, capital base, experience, and trading process.

All…

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Added by TechniTrader on February 19, 2015 at 9:00pm — No Comments

About MACD Indicator

Why MACD Puts Traders At Risk

MACD is the moving average convergence/divergence indicator written in the 1960’s by Gerald Appel and given to the fledgling technical analysis community at that time. It is by far the most promoted and most heavily used of any stock indicator.…

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Added by TechniTrader on February 18, 2015 at 6:30pm — No Comments

Weekly Chart View Invaluable

Interpret What Price Will Do After HFT Volume Spike

The chart example below with a daily view, shows that High Frequency Traders HFTs caused a huge white candlestick and volume spike, as indicated by the vertical red arrow on the right. Since then this stock has been in a sideways price action that has slowly slipped down to the…

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Added by TechniTrader on February 17, 2015 at 7:28pm — No Comments

S&P 500 INDEX ATTEMPTS BREAKOUT

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) is attempting to breakout after reaching a year-to-date high Tuesday. The big question is will the Bulls be able to overcome the negative impact of the commodities markets, specifically oil?

Added by Scott Fullman on February 11, 2015 at 4:45am — No Comments

Tradable Rally in Commodities

http://seattletechnicaladvisors.com/blog.html

Added by Ed Carlson on February 10, 2015 at 8:07am — No Comments

A short and sweet look ahead at the week in the ES and ZB

G-20 meeting and Greek debt negotiations on the forefront

There weren't any economic reports on Monday's schedule, but that doesn't mean there was a shortage of news.  Traders are focusing on The European Union's debt negotiations with Greece, and are hoping to get more insight into the EU climate via the G-20 meeting in Turkey. 

Despite solid economic data in the U.S., there is concern that an already struggling Euro zone will be further…

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Added by Carley Garner on February 9, 2015 at 4:14pm — No Comments

BTJ Conference Call Wednesday.

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Added by Michael Yorba on February 9, 2015 at 12:02pm — No Comments

UTILITIES GET TRASHED, RISK LEVELS JUMP

On Friday the Dow Jones Utilities Average (DJUA) and the Select Sector SPDR - Utilities (XLU) each dropped more than 4%. Implied volatility, a measure of risk premiums in options contracts, jumped for the group, with 30-day readings rising to the 100%tile. We dropped our opinion to neutral/equal weight.

Added by Scott Fullman on February 9, 2015 at 6:06am — No Comments

THE TIDE MAY BE TURNING

In our weekly Sectors, Indices, and Stocks report we highlight early signs that the equities market may be turning. For a free copy of this report, email me at sfullman@increasingalpha.net.

Added by Scott Fullman on February 8, 2015 at 9:13am — No Comments

Crude is taking the spotlight ahead of payroll data.

It's all about jobs at this point

This morning we heard ADP's take on the jobs market; the news wasn't as rosy as many expected but it was acceptable.  Specifically, ADP believes the U.S. economy added about 213,000 jobs in January.  For reference, the prior reading was 253,000 and analysts were calling for 230,000. 



In addition to the jobs numbers, we are seeing unstable data in sectors such as manufacturing (ISM for January was reported…

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Added by Carley Garner on February 4, 2015 at 3:10pm — No Comments

Alpha and Monthly Revenue

Added by Michael Yorba on February 3, 2015 at 1:48pm — No Comments

Dow: How low will it go?

http://seattletechnicaladvisors.com/blog.html

Added by Ed Carlson on February 3, 2015 at 8:16am — No Comments

Crude Oil

Looks like we could have a low in place.

A few more closes over $50bbl and we could be off to the races again.

A few closes under $45bbl then all bets are off.

The big increase in volume through January with no follow through to the down side tells me someone may have said "That's far enough".

If this low holds my upside target is $165.125bbl.…

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Added by Michael Yorba on February 2, 2015 at 4:30pm — No Comments

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