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Tony Cherniawski added a blog post
There are some indexes that just get no respect. They have been "dead" so long that most investors have simply walked away. That may be a major mistake. The VIX is one such indicator. While an investor cannot invest directly n the VIX, opti...
August 26
Tony Cherniawski added a blog post
The indices are finishing a rare topping formation called a broadening top.formation, also known as a 5-point reversal pattern and expanding triangle. This indicated that a significant top has been reached, and I agree. The reason? This rally ha...
August 6

Profile Information

Trading in:
stocks, bonds, index funds
About Me:
CIO for the Practical Investor, LLC

Tony can be reached at tonyc@thepracticalinvestor.com
or call at (800) 968-6785
Website:
http://www.thepracticalinvestor.com

Tony's Weekly Updates

Tony Cherniawski's Blog

Tony Cherniawski

The Lazarus Effect




Continue

Posted on August 26, 2009 at 9:00am —

Tony Cherniawski

Broadening Top in the NDX, SPX & INDU



The indices are finishing a rare topping formation called a broadening top.formation, also known as a 5-point reversal pattern and expanding triangle. This indicated that a significant top has been reached, and I agree. The reason? This rally has now lasted 153 days and rivals the 154-day… Continue

Posted on August 6, 2009 at 8:48am — 1 Comment

Tony Cherniawski

Tony Cherniawski Commentary for Tuesday, December 23rd, 2008

Hello Mike,


The rally that I had commented on in last week’s program ran out of steam the very next day without crossing the critical 920 resistance in the expanding triangle. Today we not only find the SPX repelled by this resistance but it appears that we have started the next big declin… Continue

Posted on December 23, 2008 at 12:08pm —

Tony Cherniawski

Tuesday December 9th Program Commentary posted by Tony Cherniawski

Hello Michael,


Today all the markets are at a crossroads. Either we continue going up or the market sells off in what may be the largest decline yet. So, let’s get busy and explain the choices the market must make.

Let’s take a look at an old formation that keeps coming up. It’s the expanding triangle that I had introduced in October. The indexes have kept to their pattern in the triangle, so I must report what I see.

Continue

Posted on December 10, 2008 at 2:06pm —

Tony Cherniawski

Anthony Cherniawski TV segment for December 2, 2008 commentary

Mike,

Today’s Program may be entitled “Final Landing” since the indexes have now given us a potential map of its intentions.


Last week I put out a video on YouTube describing my current views on the BKX. It drew a lot of commentary and gave me a reason to re-evaluate the chart patter… Continue

Posted on December 5, 2008 at 9:30am — 1 Comment

Comment Wall (102 comments)

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At 3:40am on August 26, 2009, Michael Yorba said…
Hi Tony:
I noticed you mentioned "The Lazarus Effect" in your last news letter.
Can you explain what that is?
At 3:08am on August 7, 2009, Michael Yorba said…
Thanks Tony:
Keep up the good work.
I am short USD, you seem to be bullish. Can you post a chart with your thoughts?
At 5:45am on October 30, 2008, Gabriel said…
Really appreciate your reply Tony.
At 5:17am on October 17, 2008, RUTH said…
Such kind words, sir!

Thanks again!
At 1:23pm on September 30, 2008, Tony Cherniawski said…
Hello Michael,

Michael, my first comment will make a lot of people angry, because it will defy a lot of people’s closely held beliefs. Many people think that the gold rally had brought back the possibility that gold would go back over 1000 in the very near future. Last week, I suggested that my model put an absolute top in gold at 985. This chart should put gold investors on alert that the end of the rally may be very near. In fact, it may have already ended. Let’s look at the first gold chart, showing the daily performance of gold. Notice the triangle that I have drawn in the chart. Triangles signal that the trend in the commodity or stock is over, since they come just before the final thrust of the trend. Further analysis shows the last wave equal to the first. This is a good indication that the rally is over.
At 1:23pm on September 30, 2008, Tony Cherniawski said…

At 1:22pm on September 30, 2008, Tony Cherniawski said…
A look at GLD shows the same formation in more detail, since I can show it on an hourly scale. The same pattern applies here. In fact, Today’s action has broken below the bottom of the triangle, which suggests the rally is finished.
At 1:22pm on September 30, 2008, Tony Cherniawski said…

At 1:21pm on September 30, 2008, Tony Cherniawski said…
he next chart is oil. This decline came out of the blue on Monday. In fact, we had expected the rally to continue when it happened. It just goes to show that not all patterns complete as anticipated.
At 1:21pm on September 30, 2008, Tony Cherniawski said…

 
 

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